We already see a clone of Photoshop. Yes, it's not a totally bulletproof app, but it's a very cheap and crazy-fast clone of an app that was made by hundreds of engineers over decades and for which customers pay $1,000 year after year. Can this clone disrupt Adobe's entire customer base? Of course not. But when, instead of several alternatives for the same problem, we have 100 or thousands, and the number of customers stays constant, it means we have a dramatic price drop. This is a market law (supply and demand). The only question is the cost of the clone.
We see this not only with Adobe; look at what's happening in the game industry. Web store providers are in a crazy slow approval process for new games because of an avalanche of clones. Steam also has this problem. We already see how a developer shows his idea on a social network and it is cloned before he actually finishes his game, within one day. Yes, quality is not perfect, but for some customers this is "good enough." Enough, yes, enough is already here.
AI doesn't give a boost to big corporations, but clones their products - yes, it can do it.
Let's imagine that any intellectual entity can be copied or cloned within a day at a fraction of the monthly or yearly cost. We use commercial stuff only because it's convenient. We buy potatoes instead of growing them because we don't want to spend 3–4 days visiting our old village house. By the way, Growing potatoes is easy. Potatoes are cheap. They have a price because we need more and more copies in the real physical world, but in the intellectual, ephemeral world we need only one copy. Of course, you can say there is a support problem of any intelligence goods. But this is a technical question; AI agents can give answer on this soon or later.
It means the price of any intellectual job is going crazy—toward zero. The number of high-salary people losing their standard of living grows, and this pushes down the standard of living of those who do plumbing, building, and food production for them. This happens because we live in a deeply connected world.
If someone says that big companies can stop selling the AI API. Yay, of course not. Chinese geniuses can always clone it; the price of 8 GPUs is big, but not so big that it is impossible to buy. Big corporations sell us the rope, and we hang them with it during coming collapse.